Derby vs Burnley Prediction, H2H & Stats

Odds

14.74
X3.20
21.86
Derby
1.4
D D L W W W W L L L
37%
60%
Burnley
2.3
W D W W W D W W L W
60%
77%

Derby vs Burnley Prediction & Analysis

Derby and Burnley face off against each other for three points in the England Championship on Tuesday, April 08th. 

After 10 games played, the statistics show that Burnley have scored 18 goals and claimed seven victories, three more victories than Derby, who have scored 11 Goals.

Our prediction for the meeting between Derby and Burnley is Under 2.5 Goals, based on mathematical analysis. For expert tipster predictions, please visit our Premium page.

Correct Score Prediction & Expected Goals

The upcoming match between Derby and Burnley is predicted to be a low-scoring affair, as Derby is expected to score 0.35 goals compared to Burnley's expected 1.09 goals. The correct score prediction for this match is 0-1.

Head to Head Record - Derby vs. Burnley

In the past meetings between Derby and Burnley, the head-to-head record shows a balanced competition, with both teams claiming victory 0 times out of the 2 meetings.

Match Result Date
Derby - Burnley 0 - 0 09.04.2025
Burnley - Derby 0 - 0 11.12.2024

Form

Team Overall Form Home Form Away Form

Derby

D D L W W W D W W W L D D L W L L D

Burnley

W D W W W D W W D W W W D W W W L D

Derby vs Burnley Stats

• Last 6 Matches Stats

Team WINS Goals Scored Goals Conceded Corners

Derby

3/6 9 5 25

Burnley

4/6 8 3 31

• Betting Stats

Team OVER 1.5 GOALS Over 2.5 Goals BTTS DRAWS

Derby

4/6 2/6 2/6 2/6

Burnley

4/6 2/6 0/6 2/6

• First Half Stats

Team WINS Goals Scored Goals Conceded Corners

Derby

2/6 3 1 14

Burnley

3/6 7 2 14

• Last 10 Games Stats

Derby Burnley
1.4 points POINTS PER GAME 2.3 points
1.1 goals/match AVERAGE SCORED 1.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/match AVERAGE CONCEDED 0.7 goals/match
40.00% WINS 70.00%
20.00% DRAWS 20.00%
40.00% LOSSES 10.00%
60.00% OVER 1.5 GOALS 80.00%
40.00% OVER 2.5 GOALS 60.00%
30.00% OVER 3.5 GOALS 20.00%
60.00% UNDER 2.5 GOALS 40.00%
30.00% BTTS 40.00%
3.7 corners CORNERS PER GAME 5.1 corners
6 DRAWS HALF-TIME 3
30.00% CLEAN SHEETS 50.00%
20.00% SCORED BOTH HALVES 30.00%
20.00% BTTS & WIN 30.00%
30.00% BTTS & Over 2.5 goals 30.00%
0.5 Goals AVERAGE SCORED FIRST HALF 1.2 Goals
0.6 Goals AVERAGE SCORED SECOND HALF 0.6 Goals

The table above summarizes the most important betting statistics of Derby and Burnley in the last 10 matches.

Form Comparison

Goals Comparison


Over 2.5 Goals Algorithm for Derby vs Burnley

Derby had 7 goals in their last 3 home games.

Derby had 1 of the 3 previous games ended over 2.5 goals.

Burnley had 8 goals in their last 3 away games.

In the previous game, Burnley had 3 goals in total for the entire game.

Burnley had scored in 3 of the last 3 games.

Burnley had 2 of the 3 previous games ended over 2.5 goals.


Last Matches Derby

Home Matches

Match Result Over 2.5 Goals BTTS Date
Derby 1.4
Burnley 2.1
0 - 0 cancel cancel 09.04.2025
Derby 1.4
Preston 1.0
2 - 0 cancel cancel 03.04.2025
Derby 0.8
Coventry 2.1
2 - 0 cancel cancel 12.03.2025
Derby 0.5
Blackburn 1.0
2 - 1 check_circle check_circle 08.03.2025
Derby 0.3
Millwall 1.8
0 - 1 cancel cancel 22.02.2025
Derby 0.3
Oxford Utd 1.4
0 - 0 cancel cancel 12.02.2025

Overall Matches

Match Result Over 2.5 Goals BTTS Date
Portsmouth
Derby
2 - 2 check_circle check_circle 12.04.2025
Derby
Burnley
0 - 0 cancel cancel 09.04.2025
Swansea
Derby
1 - 0 cancel cancel 05.04.2025
Derby
Preston
2 - 0 cancel cancel 03.04.2025
Plymouth
Derby
2 - 3 check_circle check_circle 15.03.2025
Derby
Coventry
2 - 0 cancel cancel 12.03.2025

Last Matches Burnley

Away Matches

Match Result Over 2.5 Goals BTTS Date
Derby 1.4
Burnley 2.1
0 - 0 cancel cancel 09.04.2025
Coventry 1.8
Burnley 2.3
1 - 2 check_circle check_circle 05.04.2025
Swansea 1.0
Burnley 2.3
0 - 2 cancel cancel 15.03.2025
Cardiff City 1.0
Burnley 2.1
1 - 2 check_circle check_circle 05.03.2025
Preston 1.6
Burnley 1.9
3 - 0 check_circle cancel 01.03.2025
Preston 1.6
Burnley 2.0
0 - 0 cancel cancel 15.02.2025

Overall Matches

Match Result Over 2.5 Goals BTTS Date
Burnley
Norwich
2 - 1 check_circle check_circle 12.04.2025
Derby
Burnley
0 - 0 cancel cancel 09.04.2025
Coventry
Burnley
1 - 2 check_circle check_circle 05.04.2025
Burnley
Bristol City
1 - 0 cancel cancel 29.03.2025
Swansea
Burnley
0 - 2 cancel cancel 15.03.2025
Burnley
West Brom
1 - 1 cancel check_circle 12.03.2025

Important

It is essential to approach the Derby vs Burnley prediction with caution and understand that it is not a definitive forecast of the final result. Football matches are known for their unpredictability, and the true excitement of the sport lies in the uncertainty of the outcome.

While mathematical models and statistical analysis can provide valuable insights, they cannot account for certain factors such as team dynamics, individual player performances, tactical changes, and unforeseen events that may occur during the game. These elements can significantly impact the result, and as a result, the actual outcome of the Derby vs Burnley match might differ from the mathematical prediction presented on this page.