Premier League tips for betting in busy Christmas period
The Premier League is approaching the busiest spell of the calendar, with the festive season providing plenty of matches in quick succession- which provide a stern test to challenge the depth of the teams within England’s top-flight.
Whilst many of the other top leagues around Europe will enjoy a break over the festive season, the games within the Premier League come thick and fast- with six league matches per team scheduled between now and December 31st.
Add in the Carabao Cup quarter-finals and the finale of both the Champions League and Europa League this week and you’re left with plenty of action to dig your teeth into, which provides plenty of betting opportunities.
Whilst the flurry of matches is the ideal time to boost your winnings, it’s also a difficult period where Premier League side’s often struggle with the demands and rigours of back-to-back matches. As such, additional care must be taken when making your choices.
With matches coming thick and fast, the squad depth of side’s within the Premier League will be put to the test as it is too much to ask the players to play every match, which means rotation will be in order for all twenty sides.
The likes of Manchester City, Manchester United, Arsenal, Tottenham and Chelsea near the top of the table all have impressive squad depth but be wary of sides like Liverpool, as Jurgen Klopp’s men are short of top-class alternatives to their first-team, particularly in defence.
Newly-promoted trio Newcastle United, Huddersfield Town and Brighton are amongst those who find their depth may also be lacking, with this being the period where they could slump down the Premier League standings.
Elsewhere, Everton, Southampton and Swansea City are also ones to be wary of when making your choices as they have all struggled for consistency in front of goal this season and lack the depth in the attacking areas.
Pay attention to the fixtures
With the teams not being announced until an hour being kick-off, it’s crucial that you start to make predictions on whether changes will be made or not. A side like Arsenal, for example, may well choose to rest key-players against Newcastle ahead of their Friday night clash with Liverpool on 22nd December.
At the bottom, the opposite could happen. Those struggling to fend off the threat of relegation may rest key-players for fixtures against the top sides in the Premier League, instead electing to keep them fresh for crucial matches against fellow strugglers.
Keeping an eye on who has played recently is vital, especially with signings who have arrived recently. Summer acquisitions like Alexandre Lacazette, Alvaro Morata and Mohamed Salah will be accustomed to a winter break, whereas players who are used to the Premier League, like Manchester United’s Romelu Lukaku, may excel during this period.
It’s also a testing time for South American players, who won’t be used to the winter weather and face being thousands of miles from home during the festive season. Those based locally, meanwhile, could also impress.
With matches coming in thick and fast, an increase in injuries is likely- particularly for those players who aren’t given a rest. This should definitely be taken into account when making your bets, with Swansea’s Tammy Abraham being crucial for the Welsh side this season.
If the Chelsea loanee was to be injured, for example, then Swansea’s expected goals ratio would drop significantly. As such, they probably wouldn’t be the best bet for both teams to score or over 2.5 goals.
Be wary of how particular absences could affect a side. If a key defender is ruled out, then the likelihood of that side conceding goals would rise, depending on the ability of the man they call upon, whilst a midfielder’s absence could limit creativity.
Significantly though, you have to take into account who the respective replacement is. If Arsenal were to lose Lacazette or Manchester City were to lose Sergio Aguero, then having both Olivier Giroud and Gabriel Jesus is unlikely to affect their presence in front of goal too much.